Maritime authorities need to run periodic risk assessment ensuring the risk of accident remains within the acceptable boundaries.
However, the majority of the methods used nowadays consider maritime traffic in a static or quasi-static manner, linking the accident probability with traffic density and individual ship characteristics.
While often neglecting the influence of traffic or waterway complexity and environmental factors on human performance, thus, accident probability. Additionally, they usually focus on open sea and coastal navigation, while they exclude inland and restricted navigation.
To fill this knowledge gap, the consortium is attempting to develop a novel approach to modelling the probability of accidents on waterways, based on first principles inspired by human performance. To this end, factors affecting navigator performance are being identified and measured through a literature review, expert knowledge gathering and Big Data analysis.
As a result, a novel scientific method together with a software tool for strategic risk assessment for waterways will be developed.
This project is funded by the Polish National Centre for Research and Development (NCBiR) in the frame of MarTERA initiative, an ERA-NET Cofund supported by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program. Contract no. MarTERA4/1/10/ASTRA/2023.